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A Shot in the Dark: The Science That Outsmarted Smallpox

  • Writer: Heather McSharry, PhD
    Heather McSharry, PhD
  • Jul 15
  • 21 min read

Updated: Jul 21

Summary

For thousands of years, smallpox shaped civilizations, scarred survivors, and claimed millions of lives. People knew that surviving the disease provided lifelong protection, but there seemed to be only one terrible way to gain that immunity: survive smallpox itself.

In this episode of Infectious Dose, we trace the remarkable journey from the risky practice of variolation to Edward Jenner's groundbreaking experiment with cowpox, exploring how centuries of observation, hypothesis, and experimentation transformed medicine forever. Along the way, we'll discover that Jenner wasn't simply lucky—he was building on generations of knowledge, asking better questions, and helping launch an entirely new way of thinking about disease.

This is the story of how science learned to outsmart smallpox, why vaccination became one of the greatest turning points in public health, and how the search for safer prevention ultimately led to the eradication of one of humanity's deadliest diseases.

Listen here or scroll down to read full episode.

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Full Episode

Citation List at the end of the post

There’s a sound that used to be everywhere. A constant breathing that was too fast and shallow. A fever that wouldn’t break. And then, eventually, silence.

What was it like to live in a world where every epidemic begins with the same quiet resignation. Of course the fever has come. Of course children are dying. Of course there is nothing to be done except care for the sick and hope your family is spared. For thousands of years, that was medicine's relationship with infectious disease. Physicians could comfort. They could sometimes treat. Communities could quarantine. But no one expected to stop an epidemic before it started. One country doctor decided to try. His experiment would last only a few minutes. Its consequences would last forever.

This is A Shot in the Dark: The Science That Outsmarted Smallpox

A World Before Vaccines

Imagine trying to explain the idea of vaccination to someone living in the seventeenth century. Not the science behind it. Not viruses or antibodies or memory cells. Just the idea itself. "You mean there's a way to keep someone from getting a disease...before they've ever been exposed to it?" For most of human history, that would have sounded impossible.

Disease wasn't something you prevented. It was something you survived—or didn't.

An illustration in Florentine Codex, compiled between 1540 and 1585, depicting the Nahua peoples suffering from smallpox during the conquest-era in central Mexico                                                              en:Bernardino de Sahagún (1499-1590), compiler. Original illustration by unknown 16th-century artist; this version of the drawing by unknown 16th-century copyist., Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
An illustration in Florentine Codex, compiled between 1540 and 1585, depicting the Nahua peoples suffering from smallpox during the conquest-era in central Mexico en:Bernardino de Sahagún (1499-1590), compiler. Original illustration by unknown 16th-century artist; this version of the drawing by unknown 16th-century copyist., Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Few illnesses embodied that reality more completely than smallpox. For thousands of years, it moved through human populations with relentless regularity, leaving behind scars that were as much a part of history as wars or famines. It crossed continents with traders and armies. It reshaped royal successions. It devastated Indigenous populations after European contact with the Americas. And for countless families, it was simply one of the greatest fears of childhood.

Those who survived often carried the evidence for the rest of their lives. Deep pitted scars marked their faces and hands. Some lost their sight. Others were left weakened by the infection. And many never survived long enough to bear any scars at all.

By the eighteenth century, smallpox was estimated to kill hundreds of thousands of people in Europe each year, and globally, it claimed millions of lives. In some communities, the disease became so common that people almost expected to encounter it at some point in their lives. It wasn't a question of if. It was a question of when. And yet, amid all that suffering, people noticed something remarkable. Those who recovered from smallpox almost never got it again. No one understood why. The word "virus" didn't exist in the way we use it today. The immune system wouldn't be discovered for another century. There were no microscopes powerful enough to reveal the invisible world inside a drop of blood. But observation has always been one of medicine's greatest tools.

Generation after generation, people watched neighbors survive outbreaks. They saw that those survivors could care for the sick during the next epidemic without becoming ill. Somehow, surviving the disease changed the body in a lasting way. It was one of the oldest mysteries in medicine: the body could remember an infection. The problem was the price of admission. To gain that protection, you first had to survive one of the deadliest diseases humanity had ever known. For centuries, there seemed to be no way around that bargain.

But eventually, physicians and healers in different parts of the world began asking a dangerous question. What if there was a way to teach the body...without asking it to survive the full disease first? That question would lead to the first vaccine and a revolution in the practice of medicine.

A DANGEROUS SOLUTION

Long before Edward Jenner picked up a lancet in rural England, people in other parts of the world had already begun searching for a way around that impossible bargain.

The practice went by different names in different places, but today we know it as variolation. Its origins stretch back centuries, with evidence of similar practices in China, India, parts of Africa, and the Ottoman Empire. Although the methods varied, the underlying idea was the same. If surviving smallpox protected you from future infections, perhaps a carefully controlled exposure could provide that same protection while causing a much milder illness.

In some regions, dried material collected from the pustules of someone recovering from a relatively mild case of smallpox was ground into a fine powder and blown into the nose. Elsewhere, it was introduced through small scratches made in the skin. By modern standards, the procedure sounds alarming. And for good reason.

Variolation used the actual smallpox virus. Most people who underwent the procedure developed a much milder illness than they would have through natural infection, and their chances of dying were significantly lower. But "lower" did not mean "safe." Some people still developed severe smallpox. Some died. And because they were infected with the real virus, they could also spread the disease to others, occasionally igniting new outbreaks.

Lady Mary Wortley Montagu. Lithograph by A. Devéria after C. F. Zincke. via Wikimedia Commons
Lady Mary Wortley Montagu. Lithograph by A. Devéria after C. F. Zincke. via Wikimedia Commons

It was a calculated gamble. But when smallpox itself could kill nearly a third of those it infected, many families decided that gamble was worth taking. The practice gradually spread westward, helped in large part by an extraordinary woman named Lady Mary Wortley Montagu. Having survived smallpox herself and lost a brother to the disease, she witnessed variolation while living in the Ottoman Empire in the early eighteenth century. Impressed by what she saw, she made a decision that, at the time, would have seemed unthinkable. She had her own child variolated. Later, back in London, she did it again—this time in front of physicians. And slowly… the idea spread. Not easily.

In Boston in 1721, during a smallpox outbreak, a minister named Cotton Mather and a physician, Zabdiel Boylston, pushed for variolation. People were furious. At one point, someone threw a bomb into Mather’s house. But Boylston kept going. And he did something unusual for the time. He tracked the numbers. Among people who got smallpox naturally—about 14 percent die. Among those who were variolated then got it—about 2 percent. It might be one of the earliest examples of using data to argue for a medical intervention. Even then… it's controversial. Because the solution still looked a lot like the problem. Many physicians rejected it. Religious leaders debated whether humans should deliberately induce disease. Others feared that variolation itself would spread epidemics. And it could. Yet as evidence accumulated, the practice slowly gained acceptance.

Its value became especially clear during the American Revolutionary War. As we heard about last week, General George Washington faced smallpox as it swept through the Continental Army, threatening to destroy the fighting force from within. Washington had survived smallpox years earlier and understood firsthand both its danger and the protection that followed recovery. Against considerable political and military risk, he ordered a program of mass variolation for his troops.

It was one of the most consequential public health decisions in American history. The campaign wasn't perfect. Soldiers had to recover before returning to duty, and secrecy was essential because temporarily incapacitating large numbers of troops could have been disastrous if the British discovered it. But the effort dramatically reduced the army's vulnerability to smallpox and is widely credited with preserving the Continental Army at one of the most precarious moments of the Revolution.

By the end of the eighteenth century, physicians knew something important. Variolation worked. It proved that immunity wasn't only an accident of survival. It could be induced deliberately. But there was still one enormous problem. At this point, the only way to protect someone from smallpox...was to give them smallpox. Medicine had taken an extraordinary step toward prevention, but it still needed to find a way to make prevention truly safe.

The Experiment That Changed Everything

This is where the milkmaids enter the story. For generations, there had been a curious belief among dairy workers in rural England. Milkmaids, people said, didn't get smallpox. More specifically, they didn't get severe smallpox. Many had experienced a much milder illness called cowpox, a disease that caused blister-like lesions on the hands after contact with infected cattle. It was unpleasant, but rarely dangerous. And among farming communities, an idea had begun to circulate that anyone who had recovered from cowpox seemed to be protected from its far deadlier cousin. But the observation itself was real enough to attract the attention of physicians.

Bibliothèque interuniversitaire de Santé, Licence Ouverte, Public Domain via Wikimedia Commons
Bibliothèque interuniversitaire de Santé, Licence Ouverte, Public Domain via Wikimedia Commons

One of them was Edward Jenner. After training under the renowned surgeon John Hunter, Jenner returned to rural Gloucestershire with an unusually scientific habit of mind. He didn't just collect observations. He wanted to test them. Unlike many physicians of his day, he was also a careful naturalist. He paid attention to patterns in the world around him. And like thousands of English children of his generation, Jenner himself had undergone variolation as a boy. He knew firsthand both its promise and its dangers.

And the stories about milkmaids stayed with him. What if they were right? What if exposure to one disease could protect someone from another? It was a remarkable idea, because it suggested that the body might be recognizing something shared between related diseases.

Now, Jenner wasn't the first person to wonder whether cowpox protected against smallpox. Country physicians had heard the stories for years, and at least one English farmer, Benjamin Jesty, had even deliberately inoculated his own family with cowpox during a smallpox outbreak more than twenty years earlier. His family remained healthy, but the idea never spread beyond his local community.

So to be clear, Jenner did not invent the idea of inducing immunity. He inherited generations of observations, a century of experience with variolation, and the growing realization that immunity might be something medicine could deliberately create. He was looking for a safer way to do it and what made Jenner different was that he approached the question as a scientist and recognized a pattern. Then he set out to test the idea and persuade the rest of medicine that it worked.

The hand of Sarah Nelmes infected with the cowpox [book opened].                                              See page for author, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons
The hand of Sarah Nelmes infected with the cowpox [book opened]. See page for author, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

That work started on May 14, 1796. A young milkmaid named Sarah Nelmes had fresh cowpox lesions on her hand. Jenner collected material from one of the sores and used it to inoculate James Phipps, the eight-year-old son of his gardener.

James became mildly ill. He developed a slight fever and felt unwell for a few days, but he recovered quickly. Weeks later came the real test. Jenner deliberately exposed James to material from a smallpox lesion using the standard method of variolation.

Nothing happened.

He tried again. Still nothing. James did not develop smallpox.

Today, the ethics of that experiment would rightly raise profound concerns. No institutional review board would approve intentionally exposing a child to a deadly disease. But in Jenner's world, smallpox was already everywhere. Variolation itself routinely involved deliberate exposure to the virus because physicians believed the risk of controlled infection was preferable to the far greater danger of natural disease. Jenner's experiment took place within that context, even as it pushed medicine into entirely new territory.

What made Jenner's work revolutionary wasn't just that James survived. It was how he survived. Jenner demonstrated that protection could come from a related disease rather than smallpox itself. The body had learned to defend itself after encountering a different—but closely related—virus. That single insight transformed prevention.

Variolation had accepted smallpox as an unavoidable part of the equation. Jenner removed it. And in doing so, he introduced a concept that medicine had never possessed before: you could prepare the immune system for a dangerous encounter by giving it something safer to learn from first.

Jenner was convinced—but the scientific establishment wasn't. He faced criticism. Ridicule. Scientific pushback. His first paper was rejected by the Royal Society, but he kept going. He gathered more evidence then published his work himself in 1798. The idea spread socially before it spread scientifically. Across England. Into Europe. Then across the Atlantic. It spread first through trusted physicians and local communities before becoming part of national public health efforts.

Jenner called his method vaccination, from the Latin word vacca, meaning "cow." And Jenner never patented his discovery. There’s something almost poetic in what he built. A small structure in his garden that he called the “Temple of Vaccinia.” And there, he spent years vaccinating poor families for free. In fact, he vaccinated thousands of people over his lifetime.

Watercolour drawings of the left arm showing smallpox inoculation (variolation) on verso and cowpox inoculation (vaccination) on recto. 14th day smallpox and cowpox. See page for author, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons
Watercolour drawings of the left arm showing smallpox inoculation (variolation) on verso and cowpox inoculation (vaccination) on recto. 14th day smallpox and cowpox. See page for author, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

Over time, vaccination began to replace variolation. Because it was safer. You’re no longer exposing people to smallpox itself—just a related, milder virus. By 1840, variolation was banned in England. And something bigger had shifted. For the first time, medicine wasn’t just reacting to disease. It was preventing it. And it was happening decades before germ theory. Jenner didn’t know what a virus was. But he understood something just as powerful: Exposure could teach the body to defend itself.

The term "vaccination" has remained with us for more than two centuries. Why? Because it was proven safe and it protected people from a horrible disease. It's what vaccines do.

Teaching the Immune System

Of course, Edward Jenner had no idea why his experiment worked. He couldn't see viruses. He didn't know what antibodies were. The words B cell and T cell wouldn't exist for another century. He had discovered a phenomenon long before anyone understood the machinery behind it. Today, we know that Jenner had stumbled onto one of the immune system's most remarkable abilities: memory.

Most of the time, our immune system is reactive. A virus enters the body, and the immune system has to figure out what it's dealing with. It studies the invader, builds specialized defenses, and eventually clears the infection. That process takes time—sometimes enough time for the pathogen to cause serious disease.

But if the immune system has seen that threat before, the story changes. The immune system generates long-lived memory cells, so instead of starting from scratch, it reaches into its memory. Specialized immune cells remember what the pathogen looked like. Antibodies can be produced far more quickly. The response is faster, stronger, and often so effective that the infection never gains much of a foothold at all. In fact, it can look like you weren't infected. But what really happened is your immune system's head start stopped the infection before it made you sick.

And vaccines takes advantage of that remarkable ability. Instead of waiting for a dangerous infection to provide the lesson, it gives the immune system a chance to practice first. I've always liked the idea that vaccines are less like shields than rehearsals.

Imagine an orchestra preparing for opening night. No one expects the musicians to perform a flawless concert the first time they see the music. They rehearse. They learn where the difficult passages are. They make mistakes while the stakes are low so that when the audience arrives, everyone already knows their part. The immune system works in much the same way. A vaccine is the rehearsal. The infection is opening night. By the time the real pathogen arrives, the immune system isn't meeting a stranger. It's recognizing an old acquaintance.

Jenner's cowpox experiment worked because the virus that causes cowpox is closely related to the virus that causes smallpox. They share enough biological features that the immune system's response to one also provided protection against the other. Jenner didn't know any of that, of course. He simply knew the outcome.

Sometimes in science, discovery comes before explanation. We observe something that works, even if we don't yet understand why. The explanation follows years—or even centuries—later. Jenner's experiment was one of those moments. He solved a problem that medicine couldn't yet explain. And once scientists understood what the immune system was actually doing, the possibilities expanded far beyond smallpox. Because if the immune system could be taught once... perhaps it could be taught again. And again. Against diseases Jenner could never have imagined.

An Idea That Outgrew Its Origins

Nearly a century after Jenner's experiment, the French chemist and microbiologist Louis Pasteur expanded the concept in a remarkable way. Rather than relying on a naturally occurring, related virus like cowpox, Pasteur showed that pathogens themselves could be weakened—or attenuated—so they could teach the immune system without causing severe disease. His work led to vaccines against anthrax and, perhaps most famously, rabies, proving that Jenner's discovery was not a one-time solution for one disease. It was the foundation of an entirely new way of thinking about prevention.

From there, the science continued to evolve. Researchers learned how to inactivate

Different types of vaccines. Vaccines can be produced using different processes. Vaccines may contain live attenuated pathogens (usually viruses), inactivated whole pathogens, toxoids (an inactivated form of the toxin produced by bacteria that causes the disease), or parts of the pathogens (e.g. natural or recombinant proteins, polysaccharides, conjugated polysaccharide or virus-like particles). Volker Vetter, Gülhan Denizer, Leonard R. Friedland, Jyothsna Krishnan, Marla Shapiro, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons
Different types of vaccines. Vaccines can be produced using different processes. Vaccines may contain live attenuated pathogens (usually viruses), inactivated whole pathogens, toxoids (an inactivated form of the toxin produced by bacteria that causes the disease), or parts of the pathogens (e.g. natural or recombinant proteins, polysaccharides, conjugated polysaccharide or virus-like particles). Volker Vetter, Gülhan Denizer, Leonard R. Friedland, Jyothsna Krishnan, Marla Shapiro, CC BY 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

viruses and bacteria so they could no longer cause infection while still provoking an immune response. They developed toxoid vaccines that trained the immune system to recognize the dangerous toxins produced by bacteria rather than the bacteria themselves. Advances in cell culture made it possible to grow viruses safely in laboratories, paving the way for vaccines against diseases like polio and the vaccine strain of the Junin virus I worked with. In more recent decades, scientists developed recombinant protein vaccines, conjugate vaccines, viral vector vaccines, and, most recently, messenger RNA—or mRNA—vaccines. The technologies became increasingly sophisticated, but they were all built on the same fundamental insight.

Every vaccine, no matter how modern or complex, is based on the same simple principle Jenner demonstrated more than two centuries ago: teach first, fight later. Instead of waiting for a dangerous pathogen to arrive and hoping the body can respond quickly enough, vaccination gives the immune system an opportunity to learn in advance. By the time the real threat appears, the lesson has already been taught.

It seems almost obvious today because we've grown up in a world where vaccines are simply part of life. But before 1796, that way of thinking didn't exist. Jenner's experiment introduced something genuinely new into human history: the possibility that we could shape the future of an infection before it ever occurred. And in one extraordinary case, that possibility became something even more remarkable. It became eradication.

The Disease That Disappeared

For most of history, the idea of eliminating an infectious disease would have sounded as impossible as preventing one in the first place. Diseases came and went, sometimes flaring into devastating epidemics and sometimes fading for years, but they always returned. Smallpox had been part of human civilization for thousands of years. It had shaped empires, altered the outcomes of wars, and claimed the lives of an estimated 300 to 500 million people in the twentieth century alone. It was so deeply woven into human history that few could imagine a world without it.

Yet by the middle of the twentieth century, public health leaders began asking another seemingly impossible question. If vaccination could prevent smallpox...could it eliminate it altogether?

Standing left to right, this 1966 image shows Dr. Donald A. Henderson (headed international effort in 1960s to eradicate smallpox), Dr. J. Donald Millar (From 1963-1970, he directed CDC's Smallpox Eradication Program), Dr. John J. Witte (former Chief of the organization’s Immunization Branch), and, Dr. Leo Morris (specialized in statistical analysis, and implementation of the newly-introduced jet injector vaccine-delivery system against smallpox).                                                                                                              CDC/ Dr. John J. Witte, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
Standing left to right, this 1966 image shows Dr. Donald A. Henderson (headed international effort in 1960s to eradicate smallpox), Dr. J. Donald Millar (From 1963-1970, he directed CDC's Smallpox Eradication Program), Dr. John J. Witte (former Chief of the organization’s Immunization Branch), and, Dr. Leo Morris (specialized in statistical analysis, and implementation of the newly-introduced jet injector vaccine-delivery system against smallpox). CDC/ Dr. John J. Witte, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

In 1967, the World Health Organization launched an ambitious global eradication campaign. It wasn't just a matter of vaccinating everyone on Earth. Many of the regions where smallpox still circulated had limited healthcare infrastructure, ongoing conflict, or remote communities that were difficult to reach. Instead, health workers combined widespread vaccination with careful surveillance and an approach known as ring vaccination. Whenever a case of smallpox was identified, teams worked quickly to vaccinate the infected person's close contacts and the contacts of those contacts, creating a ring of immune individuals around the virus and cutting off its ability to spread.

It was an enormous undertaking that depended on international cooperation, local health workers, epidemiologists, laboratory scientists, logisticians, and countless community members who helped identify cases and deliver vaccines under extraordinarily difficult conditions. It wasn't one dramatic breakthrough. It was years of careful, methodical public health work carried out on a global scale.

Then, on October 26, 1977, a hospital cook named Ali Maow Maalin developed what would become the last naturally acquired case of smallpox. He recovered, and despite intensive surveillance, no additional naturally occurring cases were found.

After more than two years of searching to ensure the virus had truly stopped circulating, the World Health Organization made an announcement that had never before been possible. In 1980, the world was officially declared free of smallpox. For the first time in human history, an infectious disease had been eradicated.

Think about what that means. Every child born today lives in a world where smallpox is no longer waiting for them. Parents no longer fear the disease that haunted families for centuries. Physicians no longer diagnose it. Hospitals no longer prepare for outbreaks. The virus that once shaped civilizations survives only in two highly secure research laboratories.

That outcome wasn't inevitable. It began with a simple observation that surviving an infection seemed to provide protection. It continued with centuries of experimentation, refinement, and scientific discovery. And it culminated in one of humanity's greatest public health achievements: the complete removal of one of our oldest and deadliest companions. The first vaccine didn't merely change how we responded to disease. It showed us that, sometimes, disease doesn't have to remain part of the human story forever.

So why haven't we eradicted other viral diseases? Well, we need not only the tools, we need the will. We also need a pathogen that cooperates. Smallpox had several unique characteristics that made eradication possible. Humans were its only natural host, so there were no animal reservoirs where the virus could hide. People with smallpox developed a very distinctive rash, making cases relatively easy to identify and isolate. They were generally contagious only after symptoms appeared, so health workers could find cases and vaccinate close contacts before the virus spread further. Finally, the vaccine produced strong, long-lasting protection.

Most other infectious diseases don't check all of those boxes. Some circulate in animals, like yellow fever or influenza. Others spread before people know they're sick, like COVID-19. Some mutate rapidly, like influenza, requiring updated vaccines. And for some pathogens, we still don't have vaccines that produce lifelong immunity.

Measles is probably the best candidate for the next human disease eradication, but paradoxically, it's also one of the hardest. Unlike smallpox, it spreads before people know they're sick and it's so contagious that even small gaps in vaccination coverage can allow it to come roaring back. Plus there's the whole Wakefield lied about MMR safety and made an entire generation of people afraid of a very safe and effective vaccine, thing.

So vaccination is incredibly effective at reducing disease, hospitalizations, and deaths, but eradication requires a very specific combination of biology, epidemiology, and sustained global public health efforts. Smallpox happened to be the perfect candidate.

Final Reflection: Prevention Becomes Possible

When we look back at history, it's easy to see vaccination as inevitable. Of course someone would eventually discover it. Of course we would learn how the immune system works. Of course we would develop vaccines against diseases Jenner never even knew existed. But history rarely feels inevitable when you're living through it.

In 1796, they didn't have the knowledge or tools we rely on today. There was only an observant country physician who noticed a pattern, asked an unconventional question, and more importantly, was willing to test an idea that challenged centuries of medical thinking.

That experiment changed the question medicine was asking from, How do we survive disease? to, How do we prevent it from taking hold in the first place?

It's also a reminder that some of the most important advances in infectious disease don't happen in the middle of a crisis. They happen years earlier, in moments that may not seem remarkable at the time. A careful observation. An unexpected connection. A question no one has thought to ask.

It's easy to focus on Jenner's experiment and forget everything that came before it. Variolation sounds frightening to us today—and it should. Physicians were deliberately exposing people to smallpox because, at the time, it was still safer than leaving them vulnerable to the disease itself. It was an imperfect solution to a devastating problem.

But science rarely stands still. It observes. It tests. It questions. It improves. Variolation gave way to vaccination because vaccination is safer.

We sometimes forget that the history of vaccination is also the history of making vaccination safer. We've spent more than two centuries refining the process, understanding the immune system, improving manufacturing, monitoring safety, and asking how we can make each generation of vaccines better than the last. That's what scientific progress looks like.Variolation was replaced because it wasn't good enough. It was better than nothing but it wasn't good enough. Each generation of vaccines has been built on what scientists learned from the one before it. The goal has never been to preserve old methods. It's been to improve them.

If you asked an eighteenth-century physician whether they would rather use variolation or a modern vaccine. The answer would be obvious. They spent their careers trying to escape the dangers of variolation. Modern vaccines are the solution they were searching for. They would appplaud mRNA vaccines for their safety and ability to be quickly modified for new pathogens. They would never in a million years imagine that there would be people clamoring to remove our access to safe and effective vaccines.

The first vaccine didn't mark the end of epidemics. But it marked the beginning of something entirely new. The moment prevention became possible. Today we have more safe and effective vaccines than we have ever had. And they have saved millions and millions of lives. That is progress.

Thank you for being here. If you enjoyed today's episode, I'd love it if you'd share it with someone who enjoys the stories behind science.

Next week, we'll close out our Turning Points series with one of the most important revolutions in medical history: how hospitals went from places where infections spread to places designed to stop them. Then, before we leave July behind, we'll slip through the hidden door of an Outbreak After Dark speakeasy, where Prohibition, medicinal whiskey, and public health collide in one of medicine's most unusual chapters.

In August, we begin our final summer series, From Sunrise to Starlight, following the infectious disease stories that unfold from the first swim of the morning to the last porch light of the evening, before ending the month with an invitation to an Outbreak After Dark Regency garden party, where we'll explore the infections hiding beneath the elegance of Bridgerton.

Don't forget to sign up for my free weekly newsletter, Field Notes, where I continue the conversation on the episode, share things I’m paying attention to and outbreak updates, and peek behind-the-scenes. Until next week, stay healthy, stay informed, and spread knowledge, not diseases.











Annotated Citations

Accessing the literature: Whenever possible, I've linked directly to free full-text articles and books that are legally available online. For subscription-only journal articles, many researchers are happy to share a personal copy of their work if you contact the corresponding author. For books, I've included links to free online lending copies or library catalogs when available. If a title isn't freely available online, I've linked WorldCat to locate it at a nearby library or you can ask your local library about interlibrary loans.

  • Hopkins, D.R. 1983. Princes and Peasants: Smallpox in History. University of Chicago Press.

    One of the classic histories of smallpox, tracing the disease from ancient civilizations through its global spread, the development of variolation and vaccination, and the eventual eradication campaign. An excellent resource for listeners who want the full historical story.

    📖 Book Free to borrow at link

    https://openlibrary.org/books/OL9360333M/Princes_and_Peasants

  • Barquet, N., & Domingo, P. 1997. Smallpox: The Triumph over the Most Terrible of the Ministers of Death. Annals of Internal Medicine.

    A comprehensive medical history of smallpox covering the disease, its devastating impact on humanity, the development of vaccination, and the global eradication effort. An accessible overview that bridges history and modern medicine.

    🔒Subscription required but at the time of publication, Dr. Domingo had shared a copy on ResearchGate.

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/13887407_Smallpox_The_Triumph_over_the_Most_Terrible_of_the_Ministers_of_Death

  • Lakhani, S. 1992. Early Clinical Pathologists: Edward Jenner (1749–1823). Journal of Clinical Pathology.

    A concise biography of Edward Jenner that places his discoveries in historical context and explains why his work transformed medicine. Ideal for listeners interested in Jenner's life and scientific contributions.

    🆓 Open access only through pubmed:

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC495097/

  • Winkelstein, W., Jr. 1992. Not Just a Country Doctor: Edward Jenner, Scientist. Epidemiologic Reviews.

    Explores Jenner as a careful observer and scientist rather than simply the "father of vaccination," highlighting his broader scientific work and the evidence behind his famous experiments.

    🔒 Subscription required

    https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.epirev.a036081

  • Pead, P.J. 2003. Benjamin Jesty: New Light in the Dawn of Vaccination. The Lancet.

    Examines Benjamin Jesty's earlier use of cowpox to protect his family from smallpox, providing important historical context for understanding that Jenner refined and popularized vaccination rather than inventing the concept entirely.

    🔒 Subscription required but you can request a copy from the author through the ResearchGate link (scroll down)

  • https://www.researchgate.net/publication/8939889_Benjamin_Jesty_New_light_in_the_dawn_of_vaccination

  • Gross, C.P., & Sepkowitz, K.A. 1998. The Myth of the Medical Breakthrough: Smallpox, Vaccination, and Jenner Reconsidered. International Journal of Infectious Diseases.

     A thoughtful historical reassessment of Jenner's achievements that separates legend from documented history and explains how vaccination developed through the work of many individuals over time.

    🆓 Open access but only available as PDF so provided here for convenience.

    https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(98)90096-0/fulltext

  • Stearns, R.P. 1950. Remarks upon the Introduction of Inoculation for Smallpox in England. Bulletin of the History of Medicine.

    Describes how variolation reached Britain through knowledge shared from the Ottoman Empire, including the important role of Lady Mary Wortley Montagu. Helpful background for understanding what existed before vaccination.

    🆓 Open access but PDF is hard to find so provided here for convenience.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15411542/

  • Underwood, E.A. 1949. Edward Jenner, Benjamin Waterhouse and the Introduction of Vaccination into the United States. Nature.

    Explains how Jenner's vaccine crossed the Atlantic and became established in the United States through physician Benjamin Waterhouse, illustrating the rapid spread of vaccination around the world.

    🔒 Subscription required

    https://www.nature.com/articles/163823a0

  • Willis, N.J. 1997. Edward Jenner and the Eradication of Smallpox. Scottish Medical Journal.

    Connects Jenner's eighteenth-century discovery with the twentieth-century global eradication campaign, showing how a simple observation eventually led to one of public health's greatest achievements.

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    https://doi.org/10.1177/003693309704200407

  • World Health Organization. 1980. The Global Eradication of Smallpox: Final Report of the Global Commission for the Certification of Smallpox Eradication. Geneva: World Health Organization.

    The official report certifying the global eradication of smallpox in 1980. It documents the surveillance, ring vaccination, and international cooperation that eliminated humanity's deadliest infectious disease.

    🌐 Free online resource

    https://iris.who.int/items/a66e8ff8-1774-4dad-b665-5f16069b0276

  • Henderson, D.A., et al. 1999. Smallpox as a Biological Weapon: Medical and Public Health Management. JAMA.

    Reviews the biology of smallpox, vaccine protection, outbreak response, and preparedness. Written by experts involved in eradication and public health planning, it provides valuable scientific background on the disease itself.

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    https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.281.22.2127

  • Lawler, A. 2020. George Washington beat a smallpox epidemic with controversial inoculations. National Geographic.

     Historical overview of smallpox during the American Revolution, Washington's experience with the disease, his 1777 inoculation order, and the strategic significance of the Continental Army's variolation campaign. Includes commentary from historian Joseph J. Ellis describing the inoculation program as potentially Washington's most important strategic military decision.

    🌐 Free online resource

    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/article/george-washington-beat-smallpox-epidemic-with-controversial-inoculations

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