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COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Label: View, Download & Explore the Evidence

  • Writer: Heather McSharry, PhD
    Heather McSharry, PhD
  • 5 days ago
  • 21 min read

Updated: 2 days ago

Last updated: December 13, 2025

This page lists the scientific sources and key evidence behind the COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Facts label, which is part of the Infectious Dose Vacts™ series — a collection of evidence-based vaccine fact labels designed to provide clear, source-linked summaries of vaccine safety, effectiveness, and monitoring. Every claim on the label is backed by peer-reviewed research, systematic reviews, or official recommendations from leading medical and public health organizations around the world.

To ensure transparency and long-term reliability, this list excludes statements from U.S. federal agencies, whose public science communications may be influenced by political or administrative changes. Instead, all sources here are selected for their scientific integrity, global relevance, and long-term stability.

To make this easier to explore:

  • The evidence is grouped by topic (e.g. safety, effectiveness, pregnancy, ingredients).

  • Each statement on the Vaccine Facts label is linked to specific source numbers (see evidence Map).

  • Systematic reviews and seminal papers are both used

Free Download of the Vaccine Fact Label with clickable links: [PDF Download]

Tip: Print double-sided (flip on short edge) for correct front/back alignment.

Tip: Click the toggle arrows to collapse any lists you’re not using — so you can focus on the sections that matter most to you.

Evidence Map

The lists below show the numbered sources supporting specific topics on the Vaccine Fact Label. Citation numbers are clickable and link directly to the corresponding sources below. (Collapse or expand list as needed).

Vaccine Fact Label: Front

  • Purpose

    Prevents severe COVID-19 illness, hospitalization, MIS-C, long COVID, and death. Supported by: 1–8, 53-54

  • Safety Summary

    COVID-19 mRNA vaccines are safe and effective. Most side effects are mild and short-lived. No verified evidence they cause death. Benefits far outweigh the risks. Supported by: 14–17, 55–77

  • Recommended Dose Schedule

    1 dose per year for healthy people 6mo+; every 6 months for high-risk groups. Supported by: 30-34, 44

  • COVID-19 Outcomes per 1 Million People

    Estimates for unvaccinated vs vaccinated: hospitalization, ICU, long COVID, death. Supported by: 46–53

  • Possible Vaccine Side Effects

    Most side effects are short-lived and indicate immune system activation. Severe allergic reactions are rare and treatable. Supported by: 55–65

Vaccine Fact Label: Back

  • How the Vaccine Works

    mRNA delivers instructions to make spike protein → triggers immune response → no entry into nucleus, cannot affect DNA. Supported by: 9–13

  • How It’s Monitored

    Reviewed by global safety monitoring systems (WHO, ECDC, UK Yellow Card, etc.). Supported by: 55–59

  • Safety Endorsements

    Recommended by WHO, AAP, ACOG. Supported by: 30-31, 74-77

  • Truth About Common Misconceptions

    • No evidence it causes infertility → Supported by: 35–39, 75

    • Does not interact with DNA → Supported by: 9–13

    • No verified evidence of causing death → Supported by: 55–72

    • Approved after rigorous global review → Supported by: 14–17, 21-28, 60–65

Want to browse all sources by topic?

Citations are grouped into sections like vaccine safety, special populations, myocarditis, and more. Categories are are clickable and link directly to the corresponding sections below. (Click list to collapse or expand as needed).


Sources & Resources

NOTE: All directly linked PDFs ([PDF Download]) are hosted in a dedicated Google Drive folder to preserve original filenames and allow you to preview the documents before downloading.

What's the Difference Between Systematic Reviews and Seminal Papers? (Click to expand or collapse as needed).

When building this evidence list, I’ve focused on two types of high-quality scientific sources — because they each offer something important.

  1. Systematic Reviews

These are like super-studies that analyze many individual research papers on the same question — such as "How safe is the vaccine in pregnancy?" or "How often does myocarditis happen?"

  • They gather data from dozens (or even hundreds) of studies.

  • They use strict methods to combine results and avoid cherry-picking.

  • They’re considered the highest level of medical evidence because they show the full weight of the science.

Think of a systematic review like reading every book in the library on a topic, then summarizing all the reliable conclusions in one report.

  1. Seminal Papers

These are the original breakthrough studies that changed what we know — or laid the foundation for all the other research.

  • Often the first big clinical trial or the most influential real-world study

  • Sometimes a key explanation paper that describes how a vaccine works

  • Trusted because they’re published in major journals and cited widely by other scientists

Think of a seminal paper like a historic landmark — it may not be new, but it’s where everything important started.

Why use both? Using both types gives you:

  • A wide-angle view (systematic reviews)

  • And the critical building blocks (seminal papers)

This approach ensures the facts here are comprehensive, credible, and based on the strongest available evidence — not just opinions or isolated studies.

Disease Burden Without Vaccination

Why this vaccine is needed.

Before vaccines were available, COVID-19 caused large numbers of serious illnesses and deaths around the world. The research and global data links below show what the disease looked like without vaccination and why vaccines became (and still are) an essential tool for reducing severe outcomes.

Systematic Reviews

  1. COVID-19 Forecasting Team. 2022. Variation in the COVID-19 infection–fatality rate by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis. The Lancet.

    Provides global, pre-vaccine picture of how deadly COVID-19 was. Trusted because it is based on harmonized data from many countries & peer-reviewed in leading journal.

    🔗https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02867-1/fulltext

  2. Levin AT, et al. 2020. Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications. Eur J Epidemiol.

    Shows risk of death increases sharply w/age. Trusted because it systematically analyzes many seroprevalence studies via transparent statistical methods.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7721859/

  3. Meyerowitz-Katz, G., & Merone, L. 2020. A systematic review and meta-analysis of published research data on COVID-19 infection-fatality rates. International Journal of Infectious Diseases.

    Estimates infection-fatality rates across many countries & study types. Trusted because it compiles results from over 30 seroprevalence studies & provides clear picture of risk before vaccines. Published in a respected infectious disease journal.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7524446/

    Seminal Papers

  4. WHO COVID-19 Excess Mortality Collaborators. 2022. Global estimates of excess mortality associated with COVID-19, January 2020–December 2021. Nature.

    Provides the most authoritative global estimate of COVID-19 deaths, including underreported and indirect deaths. Trusted because WHO harmonized over 50 national datasets and applied advanced statistical models. A landmark global analysis used by policymakers and health agencies worldwide. 🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05522-2

  5. Flaxman S, et al. 2020. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature.

    Models how many deaths and infections occurred — or were prevented — before vaccines, using data from 11 European countries. Trusted because it comes from a world-class research team and was published in a leading scientific journal. Influential in shaping early pandemic policy. 

    🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7

  6. Verity R, et al. 2020. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.

    Provides some of the first estimates of how deadly COVID-19 was by age group. Trusted because it used early patient-level data from China and adjusted for underreporting. Cited widely in early global health guidance. 🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7158570/

  7. O’Driscoll M, et al. 2021.

    Age-specific mortality and immunity patterns of SARS-CoV-2. Nature.

    Shows how the risk of death from COVID-19 increases sharply with age, based on infection and fatality data from 45 countries before vaccines became available. Trusted because it uses international seroprevalence and mortality data analyzed with rigorous modeling, by a widely respected research team.

    🔗https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2918-0

    DATA DASHBOARD

  8. World Health Organization (ongoing). COVID-19 Global Surveillance and Dashboard.

    A real-time global database of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths reported to WHO, providing a clear picture of disease burden.

    Provides worldwide data on cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. Trusted because WHO compiles standardized reports from national public health systems. 🔗https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19/cases

    How the Vaccine Works

    Mechanism of Action (mRNA Technology)

  9. National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI). 2023. Understanding COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines.

    Explains in clear, accessible language why mRNA cannot alter DNA and how the vaccines function at a molecular level. Trusted because it’s published by the U.S. government's leading genomics agency.

    Note: As of this writing, this fact sheet remains publicly available, but U.S. federal vaccine education pages may be subject to removal or revision under current political leadership.

    🔗 https://www.genome.gov/about-genomics/fact-sheets/Understanding-COVID-19-mRNA-Vaccines

    The following studies explain how mRNA instructs cells to produce the spike protein antigen, how immune memory forms, and confirm that mRNA does not interact with human DNA.

    Systematic / Narrative Reviews

  10. Pardi N, Hogan MJ, Porter FW, Weissman D. 2018.  mRNA vaccines — a new era in vaccinology. Nat Rev Drug Discov.

    Explains how mRNA vaccines work, including how mRNA is used and broken down in the body. Trusted because it was written by pioneers of mRNA technology and is widely cited.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5906799/

  11. Sahin U, Karikó K, Türeci Ö. 2014. mRNA-based therapeutics — developing a new class of drugs. Nat Rev Drug Discov.

    Describes the development and delivery of mRNA medicines. Trusted because it predates COVID and summarizes decades of research.

    🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/nrd4278

  12. Crommelin DJA, et al. (2021). Addressing the Cold Reality of mRNA Vaccine Stability. Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences.

    Explains why mRNA vaccines require ultra-cold storage and how lipid nanoparticles protect the mRNA. Trusted because it is authored by experts in drug delivery and published in a respected pharmaceutical journal.

    🔗 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xphs.2020.12.006

  13. Verbeke R, et al. (2021). Three decades of messenger RNA vaccine development. Nano Today.

    Summarizes 30 years of mRNA research leading to COVID-19 vaccines. Trusted because it provides a clear explanation of how mRNA triggers immune responses, how it's delivered into cells, and how it avoids interacting with DNA.

    🔗[PDF Download]

    Seminal Papers

  14. Polack FP, et al. 2020. Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med. 

    Reports Pfizer’s pivotal clinical trial showing high protection and a predictable safety profile. Trusted because it is a large, randomized trial in a top medical journal.

    🔗https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2034577

  15. Baden LR, et al. 2021. Efficacy and safety of the mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. N Engl J Med. 

    Reports Moderna’s pivotal clinical trial with similar findings to Pfizer’s. Trusted due to large sample size and rigorous peer review.

    🔗https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2035389

  16. Corbett KS et al. 2020. SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine design enabled by prototype pathogen preparedness. Science.

    Shows how the vaccine’s spike protein design was developed. Trusted because it comes from NIH/VRC’s vaccine research team and a top science journal.

    🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2622-0

  17. Anderson EJ, et al. 2020. Safety and immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA-1273 vaccine in older adults. N Engl J Med.

    Shows that Moderna’s vaccine produced strong immune responses in older adults, with mild or moderate side effects. Trusted because it’s an early clinical trial published in a leading medical journal and includes critical data for a high-risk group.

    🔗 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2028436

    Vaccine Ingredients & Components

    Links to data sheets & product inserts

    These official product documents come from regulators like EMA, Health Canada, and the FDA. They are reviewed line-by-line for accuracy and legally define the vaccine’s ingredients. The lists are identical across regulators, confirming consistency and transparency.

    Systematic Reviews

    (Not applicable — ingredients are defined by regulatory documents.)

    Seminal Documents

    What is a Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC)?

    It’s the official, legally approved description of a medicine's ingredients, how it works, and how it’s tested. Reviewed by experts at EMA, FDA, and other regulators.

  18. European Medicines Agency (EMA). Comirnaty (Pfizer-BioNTech): Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) / EPAR.

    Lists every ingredient and component, including lipid nanoparticles, mRNA sequence, and excipients. Trusted because it is the official regulatory dossier reviewed and published by EMA. Here is the link to the EMA Regulatory Overview for Comirnaty:

    🔗https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/medicines/human/EPAR/comirnaty

    EPAR PDF Download

  19. European Medicines Agency (EMA). Spikevax (Moderna): Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC) / EPAR.

    Details all formulation components and mRNA structure. Trusted because it is updated and validated by EMA. Here is the link to the EMA Regulatory Overview for Spikevax:

    🔗https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/medicines/human/EPAR/spikevax

    EPAR PDF Download

  20. National Regulatory Summaries. Trusted product Monographs and SmPCs from Health Canada and MHRA (UK) confirm that core ingredients are identical across regulators.

    Regulatory Evidence

    Details of the approval process

    COVID-19 mRNA vaccines were carefully reviewed before they were allowed for public use. Independent experts examined safety data, clinical trial results, and how the vaccines were made. The documents below show what evidence was reviewed during the approval process.

    Systematic Reviews

    (Not applicable — regulatory approvals rely on primary documents.)

    Seminal Documents

    Note: Original FDA source links for some documents in this section have been difficult to access or may be removed under current leadership. To ensure continued availability, these materials are provided as direct PDF downloads. All documents reflect the regulatory evidence used at the time of Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) or full approval, and remain historically accurate as of publication.

    Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine, BNT162b2 (COMIRNATY)

  21. FDA VRBPAC Briefing Documents: These preauthorization documents were prepared for the December 10, 2020 VRBPAC meeting and contain the full clinical, safety, and manufacturing evidence considered for Pfizer’s EUA. [PDF Download]

  22. Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) Review Memorandum — December 2020: The FDA granted the first Emergency Use Authorization for the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine on December 11, 2020. The agency’s review documentation—including the EUA Decision Memorandum summarizing FDA’s risk–benefit evaluation—is available on FDA’s official announcement page. [PDF Download]

  23. Summary Basis for Regulatory Action (SBRA) — Full Approval — November 2021: U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Comprehensive review of clinical, safety, immunogenicity, manufacturing, and real-world data supporting full licensure of BNT162b2. [PDF Download]

    Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine - mRNA-1273 (Spikevax)

  24. FDA VRBPAC Briefing Document: Preauthorization review and evidence prepared for independent federal Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee Meeting December 17, 2020. Includes data on efficacy and safety as well as formulation etc. [PDF Download]

  25. Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) Review Memorandum — December 2020: U.S. Food and Drug Administration risk–benefit evaluation supporting the Emergency Use Authorization for the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine. [PDF Download]

  26. Summary Basis for Regulatory Action (SBRA) — Full Approval — November 2021: U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Comprehensive review of clinical, safety, immunogenicity, manufacturing, and real-world data supporting full licensure of mRNA-1273. [PDF Download]

  27. Independent editorial analyzing significance of FDA approval & policy implications

    Dinah V Parums. 2021. Editorial: First Full Regulatory Approval of a COVID-19 Vaccine, the BNT162b2 Pfizer-BioNTech Vaccine, and the Real-World Implications for Public Health Policy. J Public Health Policy.

    Summarizes the evidence supporting full regulatory approval of Comirnaty, including long-term trial data, real-world effectiveness, and comparative myocarditis risk.

    🔗https://medscimonit.com/abstract/full/idArt/934625

  28. High-Level European Regulatory Perspective

    Cavaleri M, et al. 2021. The European Medicines Agency’s EU conditional marketing authorisations for COVID-19 vaccines. The Lancet.

    Explains how EU approvals were granted based on high-quality evidence, including large-scale clinical trials, pharmacovigilance, and manufacturing data. Trusted because it was written by EMA’s top regulatory officials and published in a leading medical journal.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7833511/

    Who Should / Should Not Receive This Vaccine

    Clinical eligibility, precautions, contraindications

    These sources explain who is medically indicated to receive COVID-19 vaccination and who should temporarily avoid or defer it. These statements summarize clinical criteria derived from major medical bodies; details are supported by the citations listed below.

    Systematic Reviews

  29. Evidence Summaries

    WHO SAGE Evidence-to-Recommendation Frameworks. Summarizes global evidence on benefits and risks across age, health status, and pregnancy to guide COVID-19 vaccine use. Trusted because they are based on GRADE methodology and reviewed by WHO’s top immunization experts.

    🔗https://www.who.int/groups/strategic-advisory-group-of-experts-on-immunization/covid-19-materials

    Seminal Guidance Documents

  30. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP). 2025. Recommendations for COVID-19 Vaccines in Infants, Children, and Adolescents: Policy Statement. Pediatrics.

    Official guidance for pediatric vaccination. Advises all children and adolescents 6 months and older should receive a COVID-19 vaccine according to age-appropriate dosing schedules, including those with underlying medical conditions that increase risk for severe disease.

    🔗https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article/156/5/e2025073924/203222

  31. The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG). 2025. Updated Maternal Immunization Guidance.

    Recommends that pregnant and lactating individuals receive COVID-19 vaccination in any trimester, noting strong evidence of maternal benefit and neonatal antibody transfer.

    🔗https://www.acog.org/news/news-releases/2025/08/acog-releases-updated-maternal-immunization-guidance-covid-influenza-rsv

    Dosing & Schedule Details

    Expanded schedule, catch-up info, risk-based schedules

    COVID-19 vaccine dosing depends on age, vaccine product, and immune status. Primary series and updated doses follow defined intervals, with special schedules for children, pregnancy, and immunocompromised individuals. Citations below provide detailed guidance.

    Systematic Reviews

    (Not applicable — schedules are policy-based, not evidence-synthesis-based.)

    Seminal Guidance Documents

  32. WHO COVID-19 advice for the public: Getting vaccinated. 🔗https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/covid-19-vaccines/advice

  33. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP). 2025. Recommendations for COVID-19 Vaccines in Infants, Children, and Adolescents: Policy Statement. Pediatrics.

    🔗https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article/156/5/e2025073924/203222 

  34. EMA Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPCs) Provide legally approved dosing schedules for each age group, including initial doses, boosters, and pediatric formulations. Trusted because these documents are reviewed and published by the European Medicines Agency.

    Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty): [PDF Download]

    Moderna (Spikevax): [PDF Download]

    Special Populations

    Pregnancy, children, elderly, immunocompromised, and autoimmune conditions

    Some groups—like pregnant people, young children, older adults, and those with altered immune systems—have special considerations when receiving COVID-19 vaccines. Research shows that vaccination is safe and protective for these groups, but dose timing or follow-up may differ. The sources below provide detailed guidance.

    Systematic Reviews

  35. Carbone L, et al. 2022. COVID-19 vaccine and pregnancy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 

    Analyzes data from dozens of studies to evaluate miscarriage, birth outcomes, and maternal complications after vaccination during pregnancy. Trusted because it uses formal meta-analysis methods and includes peer-reviewed data from multiple countries.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9349529/

  36. Fernández-García S et al. 2024. Effectiveness and safety of COVID-19 vaccines on maternal and perinatal outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Global Health. 

    Synthesizes data from global studies to assess COVID-19 vaccine protection and risks in pregnant individuals and newborns. Trusted because it includes a wide range of geographies and uses high-quality observational and trial data.

    🔗https://gh.bmj.com/content/9/4/e014247

  37. Mohammadi S, et al. 2025. COVID-19 vaccine safety studies among special populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 120 observational studies and randomized clinical trials. Vaccine.

    Reviews safety outcomes in immunocompromised people, older adults, and other medically complex groups. Trusted for its comprehensive scope—covering more than 120 studies—and publication in a top vaccine journal.

    🔗https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X25006395

  38. Scott J, et al. 2025. Updated Evidence for COVID-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025–2026. N Engl J Med.

    Summarizes the latest vaccine safety and effectiveness data in pregnancy, older adults, children, and immunocompromised people. Trusted because it appears in NEJM and was developed by leading immunization experts for use in clinical policy and practice.

    🔗https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa2514268

  39. Zaçe, et al. 2022. The impact of COVID-19 vaccines on fertility-A systematic review and meta-analysis. Vaccine.

    Evaluates whether COVID-19 vaccines affect male or female fertility. Trusted because it synthesizes data from 29 studies across populations and platforms, and was published in a top-tier vaccine journal.

    🔗https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X22011185?via%3Dihub

  40. Rimmer, et al. 2023. The risk of miscarriage following COVID-19 vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Human Reproduction.

    Shows no increase in miscarriage risk following vaccination. Trusted because it systematically reviews 13 high-quality studies and is published in one of the leading journals in reproductive medicine.

    🔗https://academic.oup.com/humrep/article/38/5/840/7043098

    Seminal Studies & Policy Documents

  41. Magnus MC, et al. 2022. Association of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination during pregnancy with pregnancy outcomes. JAMA.

    Uses a national registry of over 150,000 pregnancies to show that COVID-19 vaccination during pregnancy does not increase the risk of adverse outcomes like preterm birth or low birthweight. Trusted because it is based on real-world population-level data and published in a leading journal.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2790608

  42. Norman M, et al. 2024. Neonatal Outcomes After COVID-19 Vaccination in Pregnancy. JAMA.

    Analyzes outcomes for over 90,000 infants born to vaccinated mothers using national health records. Trusted because it offers high-quality, population-based data on newborn health and was published in a top-tier medical journal.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10848052/

  43. Benanti G, et al. 2025. Long-Term Safety of Anti-COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Lupus-like Diseases with a Previous History of Myocarditis. Microorganisms.

    Assesses long-term safety in a high-risk group with autoimmune disease and prior myocarditis. Trusted because it includes extended follow-up in a medically complex population, addressing concerns often raised about vaccination in individuals with inflammatory and cardiac histories.

    🔗https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/13/10/2266

  44. American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG). 2025. COVID-19 Vaccination for Pregnant and Lactating People.

    Clinical practice guidance from the leading U.S. authority on maternal health. Trusted because it reflects the latest research and consensus from national experts in pregnancy care and immunization.

    🔗https://www.acog.org/news/news-releases/2025/08/acog-releases-updated-maternal-immunization-guidance-covid-influenza-rsv

    Background Policy Documents

  45. World Health Organization – Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety. 2014. Safety of immunization during pregnancy: a review of the evidence.

    Reviews foundational principles behind maternal immunization safety. While predating COVID-19, it supports the general safety of vaccines during pregnancy based on decades of surveillance data and is published by WHO’s leading safety committee.

    🔗https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-HIS-2014.07

    Effectiveness Evidence (In preventing Hospitalization, ICU, Death, Long COVID)

    Evidence of how these vaccines truly help

    Studies from around the world show that COVID-19 mRNA vaccines work very well at preventing the most serious outcomes of infection—including hospitalization and death. The research below summarizes how effective the vaccines are in real-life situations.

    Systematic Reviews

  46. Higdon MM et al. 2022. Duration of effectiveness of vaccination against COVID-19 caused by the omicron variant. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.

    Analyzes real-world data from dozens of countries to show how protection against infection and severe disease changes over time. Trusted for its methodological rigor and publication in a top journal.

    🔗https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00409-1/fulltext

  47. Feikin DR, et al. 2022. Duration of effectiveness of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 disease: results of a systematic review and meta-regression. The Lancet.

    Evaluates over 150 studies to quantify vaccine protection over time, across variants and populations. Trusted because it uses meta-regression and is WHO-commissioned.

    🔗https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)00152-0/fulltext

  48. Wong BKF, et al. 2024. Systematic review and meta-analysis of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations in adults. Immunother Adv.

    Focuses specifically on mRNA vaccine protection against hospitalization. Trusted for its clear summary of severe disease outcomes and inclusion of recent booster-era data.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11655844/

    Seminal Papers

  49. Tenforde MW, et al. 2022. Effectiveness of mRNA Vaccination in Preventing COVID-19–Associated Invasive Mechanical Ventilation and Death — United States, March 2021–January 2022. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.

    Demonstrates strong protection from mRNA vaccines against the most severe outcomes. Based on U.S. hospitalization data and published by CDC so who knows if the link will continue to work.

    NOTE: This was published before the current HHS/CDC leadership changes that have introduced anti-vaccine positions into official communications. This report reflects the scientific consensus at the time and remains a key reference unless withdrawn or revised.

    🔗https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8956334/

  50. Pilishvili T, et al. 2021. Effectiveness of mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine among U.S. Health Care Personnel. N Engl J Med.

    One of the first large-scale U.S. studies showing vaccine effectiveness in a high-risk group. Trusted for its sample size and NEJM publication.

    🔗https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2106599

  51. Havers F et al. 2022. COVID-19-Associated Hospitalizations Among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Adults 18 Years or Older in 13 US States, January 2021 to April 2022. JAMA Internal Medicine.

    Real-world analysis of hospitalization risk among vaccinated vs. unvaccinated individuals. Trusted for its large dataset and clarity in comparing outcomes.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2796235

  52. Miao Cai, Yan Xie, and Ziyad Al-Aly. 2025. Association of 2024–2025 Covid-19 Vaccine with Covid-19 Outcomes in U.S. Veterans. N Engl J Med.

    Assesses real-world effectiveness of updated vaccines in older and high-risk adults. Trusted because it uses U.S. Veterans Health Administration data, which is high-quality and demographically diverse.

      🔗https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2510226

  53. Ioannidis J, et al. 2025. Global Estimates of Lives and Life-Years Saved by COVID-19 Vaccination During 2020-2024. JAMA Health Forum.

    Estimates total lives saved globally by vaccines using modeled data. Trusted for its big-picture perspective and publication by respected epidemiologists.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2836434

  54. Català M, et al. 2024. The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines to prevent long COVID symptoms: staggered cohort study of data from the UK, Spain, and Estonia. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine.

    Shows that vaccination reduces risk of developing long COVID symptoms. Trusted because it uses multi-country health records and appears in a leading journal.

    🔗https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(23)00414-9/fulltext

    Surveillance Systems and Safety Monitoring

    How adverse events are tracked and evaluated globally

    COVID-19 vaccine safety is monitored through robust national and international surveillance systems. These include real-time adverse event reporting, expert review panels, and published data from millions of doses administered. The resources below explain how signals are detected and what the evidence says about rare side effects.

    Systematic Reviews

  55. C Kumar, et al. 2025. Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Incidence of Myocarditis and Guillain-Barré Syndrome in Adolescents Receiving COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine. Cureus.

    Synthesizes global safety reports to estimate rates of rare adverse events in adolescents. Trusted for its thorough methodology and use of national pharmacovigilance data from multiple regions.

    🔗https://www.cureus.com/articles/437512-systematic-review-and-meta-analysis-of-the-incidence-of-myocarditis-and-guillain-barr-syndrome-in-adolescents-receiving-covid-19-mrna-vaccine#!/

  56. R Ferreira-da-Silva, et al. 2025. Network analysis of adverse event patterns following immunization with mRNA COVID-19 vaccines: real-world data from the European pharmacovigilance database EudraVigilance. Front. Med.

    Applies network and signal detection tools to adverse event data from EudraVigilance. Trusted because it evaluates emerging patterns in real-time data using advanced pharmacovigilance analytics.

    🔗https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/medicine/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1501921/full

    Allan M, et al. 2022. The World Health Organization COVID-19 surveillance database. Int J Epidemiol.

    Describes how WHO collects and harmonizes global case, hospitalization, and death data, which forms the foundation for tracking vaccine safety at scale. Trusted for its transparency and use by public health agencies worldwide.

    🔗https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12939-022-01767-5

    Seminal Safety Monitoring Systems

    Global infrastructure for adverse event reporting and risk analysis

  57. World Health Organization (WHO). Global Vaccine Safety Initiative (GVSI).

    Outlines the international framework for detecting, investigating, and responding to vaccine-related adverse events. Trusted because it is WHO’s central safety initiative and informs national programs worldwide.

    🔗https://www.who.int/initiatives/the-global-vaccine-safety-initiative 

  58. European Medicines Agency (EMA). EudraVigilance and PRAC Safety Updates.

    Provides real-time safety signal assessments and regular updates from the EU Pharmacovigilance Risk Assessment Committee. Trusted because EMA is the official EU regulatory body and uses standardized signal validation methods.

    🔗https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/committees/pharmacovigilance-risk-assessment-committee-prac  

  59. UK Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA). Yellow Card Scheme.

    Long-standing national surveillance system that collects reports from clinicians and the public on possible side effects. Trusted for its transparency and role in signal detection in the UK.

    🔗https://yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk/

    Overall Safety

    These vaccines are incredibly safe

    These documents and studies reflect the global scientific consensus on the safety of COVID-19 vaccines, including ongoing evaluations of rare adverse events and updated long-term data. Most safety monitoring systems have reviewed millions of doses across populations. The following sources from other sections also support the overall safety profile of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines: 37, 38, 55–59, 66–68, 70–72.

    Systematic Reviews

  60. Pormohammad A, et al. 2021. Efficacy and Safety of COVID-19 Vaccines: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials. Vaccines.

    One of the earliest comprehensive reviews of COVID-19 vaccine data. Summarizes safety and efficacy findings from randomized trials and early real-world studies across all major vaccine platforms.

    🔗https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/9/5/467

  61. SeyedAlinaghi SA, et al. Safety and Adverse Events Related to COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines; a Systematic Review. Arch Acad Emerg Med.

    Summarizes post-vaccination adverse events reported across dozens of studies involving mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. Covers both common and rare side effects in the general population. Trusted because it follows PRISMA guidelines and includes a broad literature base.

    🔗https://journals.sbmu.ac.ir/aaem/index.php/AAEM/article/view/1597

  62. Cho J, et al. 2025. Top 10 drugs most frequently associated with adverse events of myocarditis and pericarditis: a pharmacovigilance analysis including mRNA vaccines. Scientific Reports.

    Uses WHO pharmacovigilance data to assess the relative contribution of mRNA vaccines to myocarditis and pericarditis cases. Confirms that rates are extremely low and consistent with prior estimates.

    🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-13234-6

    Seminal Papers

  63. Semenzato L, et al. 2025. COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality Among Adults Aged 18 to 59 Years in France. JAMA Netw Open.

    Analyzes mortality in over 20 million people in France and finds no increase in long-term death rates associated with vaccination. Trusted for its scope, transparency, and rigorous national data.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2842305

  64. Hause AM, et al. 2023. Safety Monitoring of Bivalent mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine Booster Doses Among Persons Aged ≥12 Years — United States, August–October 2022. MMWR.

    Presents large-scale U.S. safety surveillance data from booster campaigns, using VAERS and V-safe systems. Covers millions of administered doses and confirms that serious adverse events were extremely rare.

    NOTE: This was published before the current HHS/CDC leadership changes that have introduced anti-vaccine positions into official communications. This report reflects the scientific consensus at the time and remains a key reference unless withdrawn or revised.

    🔗https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/72/wr/mm7202a5.htm

    Seminal Safety Guidance Documents

  65. WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety. COVID-19 vaccines: safety surveillance manual.

    Outlines how national health systems monitor and investigate adverse events following immunization. Trusted because it’s WHO’s core guidance used by countries globally. [PDF Download]

    Myocarditis and Rare Adverse Events

    Rare outcomes, case rates, international comparisons

    Myocarditis and other rare adverse events have been observed after mRNA vaccination, but they remain infrequent and generally mild. The sources below summarize their incidence, clinical course, and how these risks compare to myocarditis following COVID-19 infection.

    Systematic Reviews

  66. Gao J, et al. 2023. A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of the Association Between SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination and Myocarditis or Pericarditis. Am J Prev Med.

    Provides pooled estimates of myocarditis and pericarditis risk after mRNA vaccination across age and sex groups. Trusted because it synthesizes data from multiple countries and study designs to give a comprehensive incidence range.

    🔗https://www.ajpmonline.org/article/S0749-3797(22)00453-6/fulltext

  67. Yasuhara J, et al. 2023. Myopericarditis After COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination Among Adolescents and Young Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Pediatr.

    Focuses on the group with the highest observed risk — teen boys and young men — and shows that most cases are mild and resolve fully. Trusted for its rigorous review and publication in a top pediatric journal.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2798866

  68. Ling RR, et al. 2022. Myopericarditis following COVID-19 vaccination and non-COVID-19 vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Respir Med.

    Provides one of the most comprehensive comparisons of myocarditis risk after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines versus other vaccines. Trusted for its rigorous methods, inclusion of pre-COVID vaccine baselines, and publication in a leading clinical journal.

    🔗 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(22)00059-5/fulltext

  69. Satyam SM, et al. 2025. Unraveling Cardiovascular Risks and Benefits of COVID-19 Vaccines: A Systematic Review. Cardiovasc Toxicol.

    Analyzes the full spectrum of cardiovascular risks, including myocarditis and thrombosis, and compares mRNA, viral vector, and protein-based vaccines. Trusted for its comprehensive approach and comparison with cardiac risks after infection.

    🔗https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12012-024-09954-2 [PDF Download]

    Seminal Papers & Authoritative Reports

  70. WHO GACVS Myocarditis Update. 2021. Updated guidance on myocarditis and pericarditis following mRNA vaccination.

    Summarizes real-time data from multiple countries and confirms that these events are very rare and typically mild. Helps inform benefit–risk evaluation. 🔗https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines 

  71. Oster ME, et al. 2022. Myocarditis Cases Reported After mRNA-Based COVID-19 Vaccination in the US From December 2020 to August 2021. JAMA.

    Describes confirmed U.S. myocarditis cases by age and dose number, with details on timing, symptoms, and recovery. Trusted for its large dataset and publication in a leading clinical journal.

    🔗https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2788346

  72. Buoninfante A, et al. 2024. Myocarditis associated with COVID-19 vaccination. npj Vaccines.

    Analyzes myocarditis case outcomes using international post-marketing data. Trusted because it confirms that cases are typically mild, self-limiting, and far less frequent than inflammatory heart issues caused by COVID itself.

    🔗https://www.nature.com/articles/s41541-024-00893-1

  73. COVID-19 subcommittee of the WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety (GACVS): Updated guidance regarding myocarditis and pericarditis reported with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines.

    Explains how countries detect and evaluate myocarditis cases, and how the findings shaped global recommendations. Trusted because it reflects consensus across multiple independent surveillance systems.

    🔗https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines 

    Professional Consensus Statements

    (Global and national medical societies)

    Respected medical organizations strongly support COVID-19 vaccination. Their official recommendations, summarized below, are based on comprehensive review of global safety and effectiveness data.

  74. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) Recommendations for COVID-19 Vaccines in Infants, Children, and Adolescents: Policy Statement:

    "COVID-19 continues to be a cause of hospitalization and death in the pediatric population. COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective in protecting individuals and populations against serious outcomes associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, including post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) and multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C)."

    🔗https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article/156/5/e2025073924/203222

  75. The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) Updated COVID-19 Vaccination Considerations for Obstetric–Gynecologic Care Statement:

    "The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists continues to recommend that all pregnant and lactating individuals receive an updated COVID-19 vaccine or “booster.”"

    🔗https://www.acog.org/clinical/clinical-guidance/practice-advisory/articles/2020/12/covid-19-vaccination-considerations-for-obstetric-gynecologic-care

  76. World Health Organization (WHO) SAGE recommendations for COVID-19 vaccination Statement: "In September 2024, WHO's Strategic Advisory Group on Immunization (SAGE) reaffirmed the validity of its recommendations on COVID-19 vaccination and the importance of revaccination for groups at higher risk of severe disease and death (older adults, people [with] comorbidities, immunocompromised individuals and pregnant persons). Revaccination of health workers is also recommended."

    🔗https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/covid-19-vaccines/advice

  77. WHO Global Vaccine Safety Blueprint 2.0 (GVSB2.0). 2021–2023.

    Outlines WHO’s global vaccine safety goals, including safety monitoring frameworks for COVID-19 vaccination. Trusted because it reflects the consensus approach used to guide national immunization programs in safety surveillance and risk communication.

    🔗 https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240036963

    Relevant Infectious Dose Episodes

    For listeners who want deeper background or plain-language explanations of the science behind COVID-19 vaccines, the following Infectious Dose episodes explore key topics discussed on this page.

  78. Vaccine Safety 1: COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines Explained: 🔗https://www.infectiousdose.com/post/episode-1-covid-19-mrna-vaccines-explained

  79. Vaccine Safety 7 - Inside the vial: the truth about what’s actually in vaccines: 🔗https://www.infectiousdose.com/post/episode-10-vaccine-safety-series-5-inside-the-vial-the-truth-about-what-s-actually-in-vaccines

  80. Vaccine Safety 8 - Expecting Protection: building vaccine confidence for moms-to-be: 🔗https://www.infectiousdose.com/post/episode-12-vaccine-safety-6-expecting-protection-building-vaccine-confidence-for-moms-to-be

  81. Vaccine Safety 9: The FDA Memo That Betrayed Public Trust — What You Need to Know: 🔗https://www.infectiousdose.com/post/vs9-fda-memo

  82. COVID Critical: Complacency and Consequences in an Unfinished Pandemic: 🔗https://www.infectiousdose.com/post/covid-critical

For all episodes in the Vaccine Safety Series, click here.

Vacts™ are evidence-mapped vaccine fact labels produced by Infectious Dose.

 
 
 

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